Despite fewer real estate transactions last month than in February 2021, TRREB stats reveal substantial (and troubling) double digit price growth year over year. Competition between buyers remains tight amidst a climate of insufficient supply and renewed immigration levels.
Here is the Toronto Real Estate Board’s analysis for February 2022, with graphics courtesy of Market Watch:
TORONTO, ONTARIO, March 3rd, 2022 – February home sales were down compared to the all-time record in 2021, but represented the second-best result for the month of February in history. New listings dropped, but by a marginally lesser annual rate than sales, pointing to a modest move to a slightly more balanced market. Competition between buyers, however, remained tight enough to support double-digit price growth year-over-year.
Greater Toronto Area (GTA) REALTORS® reported 9,097 sales through the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) MLS® System in February 2022, representing a 16.8 per cent decrease in the number of sales compared to February 2021.
The supply of listings for low-rise home types (detached, semi-detached and townhouses) was also down year-over-year, but not by as much as sales. In the condominium apartment segment, particularly in Toronto, new listings were up in comparison to February 2021.
“Demand for ownership housing remains strong throughout the GTA, and while we are marginally off the record pace seen last year, any buyer looking in this market is not likely to feel it with competition remaining the norm. Many households sped up their home purchase and entered into a transaction in 2021, which is one reason the number of sales were forecasted to be lower this year and a trending towards higher borrowing cost will have a moderating effect on home sales. Substantial immigration levels and a continued lack of supply, however, will have a countering effect to increasing mortgage costs,” said TRREB President Kevin Crigger.
The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark was up by 35.9 per cent year-over-year in February. The average selling price for all home types combined was up by 27.7 per cent to $1,334,544. The pace of price growth varied by home type and region, but there was relative parity between low-rise and condominium apartment growth rates.
“We have seen a slight balancing in the market so far this year, with sales dipping more than newlistings. However, because inventory remains exceptionally low, it will take some time for the pace of price growth to slow. Look for a more moderate pace of price growth in the second half of 2022 as higher borrowing costs result in some households putting their home purchase on hold temporarily as they resituate themselves in the market,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.
“We are close to provincial and municipal elections in Ontario. We know that housing affordability willbe top of mind. Parties and individuals vying for political office must concentrate on bold and creative policies that will support increased and diverse housing supply to account for the current deficit and future population growth as immigration accelerates. History has shown that tax based policies pointed at foreign buying and speculative activity, which seem to be the political preference, have had very little impact on the market simply because this type of activity accounts for a small share of overall marketactivity,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.
If you’d like to see more in-depth figures – by housing type and/or geographical area – here’s the complete set of February 2022 TRREB Stats.
Love a good infographic as much as we do? Here’s one from our broker – Bosley Real Estate Ltd., Brokerage – based on the Feb 2022 TRREB stats for the GTA!
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